Monday, February 23, 2026

What's Up In The Missouri Valley 2/23/2026

Week 17 Watchlist: The Finale of February--Basket Under Review

Tuesday, February 24

C Games

#127 Bradley at #102 UIC (-4), 8 PM ET, ESPN+. Thanks to what I'll charitably call a collapse by the entire Missouri Valley, Bradley can get closer to wrapping up a second-place finish in the MVC with a win here. This does matter a little thanks to the MVC's quality this year. Your seventh-place finisher is most likely Valpo, who is 20 spots off the pace of any of the top six at KenPom. The problem, obviously, is that UIC is straight-up better.

Wednesday, February 25

C Games

#98 Illinois State at #85 Northern Iowa (-5), 7 PM ET, ESPNU. Arch Madness can get very mad very fast, with the preseason favorite now being likely to finish 6th and the best defense in mid-majordom a month ago being 5th:



MBB Preview: Bradley Heads to Chicago for their second matchup against the Flames--bradleybraves.com



Missouri Valley leader Murray State storms back in second half to upend Illinois State--The Pantagraph



Sycamores struggle to contain Belmont in 87-70 road loss--Indiana Statesman

Women’s Sycamores split weekend games--Indiana Statesman



The Women’s Other Top 25: North Dakota St. emerges as No. 1 following upsets in Atlantic 10--Mid-Major Madness

Four new teams joined the poll this week. Murray St. came in at No. 19. Navy followed at 20. Davidson returned to the Other Top 25 at No. 22. Louisiana Tech was 24th. They replaced Santa Clara, Arkansas St., Massachusetts and Idaho.

Here is the full ranking:

Ranking

Team

Last Week

19 Murray St. NR



Heat Check Report: Who's Peaking at the Right Time?--Bracket Busters

Heating Up

Valparaiso

Owen Dease - 2025-26 - Men's Basketball - Valparaiso University
Photo: Valparaiso Athletics
  • 02/16/26 KenPom: 158th

  • 02/23/26 KenPom: 145th

Watch out, the Valparaiso Beacons are heating up! The Beacons have won three games in a row and five out of their last six games including two solid wins against Bradley 79-72 and UIC on the road 71-67 this week. Valpo has already surpassed their most wins in conference since joining the Missouri Valley Conference and they close out against Drake who is ice cold and Evansville who has just four wins against Division I opponents. They are favored to win both games which would put them at 18-13 on the season and 12-8 in the MVC heading into Arch Madness.

Looking back at their wins in conference, they’ve also taken down Northern Iowa while sweeping UIC and picking up a win against Illinois State. They’ve played Murray State close, losing 85-79, and lost twice to Belmont by just a combined five points. They’ve shown that they can easily compete with anyone in the conference and shouldn’t be overlooked in the always chaotic Arch Madness.

Over the course of the season, they’ve been driven by their defense which during this last stretch of six games has held opponents to 76 points or less in their five wins. They sit at 125th in defensive adjusted efficiency per KenPom and 183rd in offensive adjusted efficiency. Here’s how the rest of their metrics shape up:

  • Offensive:

    • 331st in effective field goal percentage

    • 102nd in turnover percentage

    • 105th in offensive rebounding percentage

    • 86th in free throw attempt vs field goal attempt

    • 229th in three-point shooting

    • 342nd in two-point shooting

    • 79th in block percentage

    • 6th in steal percentage

  • Defensive:

    • 122nd in opponent effective field goal percentage

    • 162nd in opponent turnover percentage

    • 67th in opponent three-point shooting

    • 196th in opponent two-point shooting

    • 54th in opponent free throw percentage

    • 107th in opponent block percentage

    • 61st in opponent non-steal turnover percentage

    • 112th in opponent three-point attempt vs field goal attempt

    • 71st in opponent assist per field goal made

Putting these metrics together, you’ll see that they offensively aren’t a great shooting team. However, they use their defense to apply pressure. They are 308th in tempo, so playing fast doesn’t fit into their style. They play excellent defense on the perimeter, so they force opponents to take contested shots from outside, limiting their ability to get into the paint.

Owen Dease has been one of the most consistent pieces for Valpo this season. He’s averaging 13.3 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 1.2 assists while shooting 46.3% overall and 40.7% from three-point. He is 222nd in the country in three-point shooting and 138th in free throw shooting percentage.

Freshman JT Pettigrew has been very underrated as he is averaging 11.8 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 1.5 assists while shooting 37.4%. His 27% possession usage rate is 183rd, while his 10.4% offensive rebounding percentage is 209th in the nation. He is 108th in fouls drawn per game at 5.9 which translates into a strong 53.6 free throw rate which is 155th.



MVC Men's Basketball Weekly Notebook (2-23-2026)--The Missouri Valley

MVC Women's Basketball Weekly Notebook (Feb. 23)--The Missouri Valley

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