Primarily a collection of news links about all 11 Missouri Valley League teams on a daily basis, culled from online newspapers, school athletic websites, the conference website, and school newspapers, plus some other content from time to time.
5. Paul Jesperson, Northern Iowa over Texas (2016 first round)
No. 11 Northern Iowa clung to a 72–70 lead late in regulation against No. 6
Texas in the first round of the 2016 Midwest Regional. With fewer than 12
seconds to play, Texas guard Isaiah Taylor drove the lane and got a layup to
go that tied the contest at 72 with fewer than three seconds remaining.
Northern Iowa inbounded the ball to Paul Jesperson on the right sideline,
who crossed over to the middle of the floor and put up a half-court heave as
time expired. Cash. The Panthers advanced to the round of 32 in an absolute
stunner.
Northern Iowa’s Paul Jesperson shoots the winning shot over Texas in the
first round of the 2016 tournament. | Greg Nelson/Sports Illustrated
15. Ty Rogers, Western Kentucky over Drake (2008 first round)
In a first-round game where both teams apparently refused to play defense,
No. 12 Western Kentucky found itself trailing No. 5 Drake 99–98 with five
seconds left in overtime. Inbounding from beneath their own basket, the
Hilltoppers turned to a play that has become one of the most trusted in
buzzer-beater scenarios—one man brings the ball up, and when the defending
team has committed just enough, tosses the ball back to a trailing shooter.
Ty Rogers was that trailing shooter, and he hit nothing but net.
Auburn, which picked up wins over Florida, St. John’s and Arkansas during
the regular season, has secured three straight victories to reach the NIT
semifinals, though it hasn’t been easy. The Tigers relied on a strong second
half to survive South Alabama’s upset bid in the first round and have since
defeated Seattle and Nevada by six points apiece.
All three wins were played at Neville Arena, meaning Thursday’s meeting with
Illinois State will be Auburn’s first NIT game away from home.
Kevin Overton and Keyshawn Hall have been instrumental in carrying the
Tigers through the tournament. Overton is putting up a team-high 17 points
so far in NIT play, while Hall is averaging 14.7 points and nine rebounds
— his 15 rebounds in Auburn’s win over Seattle were a season
high.
The Tigers have holes defensively. They allow nearly 79 points per game and
are incapable of defending the 3-ball, but the offense is a different story.
Auburn ranks 12th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency, and the
team gets to the free throw line at a high rate.
Illinois State suffered an early exit from the Missouri Valley Conference
Tournament but has since bounced back, knocking off Kent State, Wake Forest
and Dayton en route to the semifinal round.
The Redbirds are led by juniors Chase Walker and Johnny Kinziger, who
combine to average over 25 points per game. Three more players score at
least nine points per game, including knockdown shooter Boden Skunberg,
who’s connecting on 39.9 percent of his 3-point attempts.
Unlike Auburn, Illinois State is defined by its defense. The Redbirds defend
all areas of the floor relatively well and are exceptional at limiting
second-chance points, ranking 12th in the nation in opponent offensive
rebound percentage. They’re fairly average on offense, though they do rank
66th in 2-point percentage.
It remains to be seen if Illinois State can handle an opponent from the
mighty SEC, but this team has come on strong at the right time. Auburn can’t
afford to underestimate the Redbirds.
Illinois State
is the only NIT semifinalist to have won a game on the road in this
tournament, and should have a strong crowd contingent in Indy. I noted
ahead of this tournament that ISUred desperately needed Johnny Kinziger
to rediscover his jump shot if they wanted to make a run to Indy, and
he's had his best shooting stretch of the year (11-23 from 3) in what
has been a trying year for him. Auburn has struggled to
defend at the rim and in particular the post all season (4th percentile
efficiency rating in post defense), which isn't ideal against Chase
Walker and an ISU offense that filters offense through the post at an
85th percentile rate and now has the options around Walker's paint
gravity to exploit Auburn's 64th percentile unguarded catch and shoot
rate allowed (and opponents have rarely missed their catch and shoots
against the Tigers all season). Elijah Price just had a career game in
the post against Auburn, scoring 1.6 PPP on post possessions in Nevada's
near comeback against the Tigers. Auburn meanwhile has seen Filip Jovic
take full advantage of KeShawn Murphy's opt out, scoring 30 points the
last two games, which is more than his previous 9 games combined. The
problem is that he's allowed 1.5 PPP in the post- that's a 1st
percentile grade out per Synergy data. That said, Pettiford's ball
screen and dribble creation could have devastating effects against a
pretty devout ISUred drop coverage with the paint bound Walker, and they
have no one for Keyshawn Hall's isolations. ISUred has been an elite
defensive rebounding team (best in the Valley, top 15 DREB% nationally,
per KenPom), which is important against Auburn's athleticism and glass
crashing. But in ISU's one top 50 game this season they allowed 19
offensive rebounds on a massive 63% rate to Utah State. Probably simply
not enough horses from an athleticism standpoint for the Redbirds, and
too many matchup advantages on the ball for the Tigers. We've also seen
Auburn try to hand back the game after building big leads against
Seattle and Nevada the past two rounds.
The Wake Forest Bracket: Illinois State vs. Dayton
With
the Flyers giving up their home arena to the NCAA for its use in the
First Four, Dayton has been unable to have a home-court advantage for
now its second year in a row for the first two games of the NIT, but
now, with UD Arena ready to host its fans once again, and with Dayton on
the brink of a trip to Hinkle Fieldhouse, the time is now for the
Flyers to take their first postseason home-court advantage. What looked
to be a lost season headed into the conference tournament with zero
at-large hopes, has now given Anthony Grant’s team life after barely
losing in the A10 finale. Two blowouts down into the postseason, and
they face an opponent coming off a huge win against a power-conference
opponent.
Illinois
State has looks streaky all season, with stints of true greatness
peaking through the cracks of a poor-at-times offense that has never
found a true identity. The Redbirds have found success across the board
in their past two games with Chase Walker finally becoming the leader
that they always needed him to be. This matchup with the Flyers may be
their toughest one yet, and it won’t just take another hot shooting
night to send the Flyers crashing down.